|
Post by тσρтєиhυитєя on Sept 19, 2019 18:14:22 GMT -5
It’s been almost 2 years since both Santiago Mederos and Alejandro Castillo have been added to the Ten Most Wanted List and it’s been nearly 4 months since the latest addition to the list (Eugene Palmer).
Next week is the last full week of September and then October starts.... in which I consider the beginning of the end of the year. The list hasn’t had a capture in 6 months and I have to say, I give the FBI credit as the list has improved significantly of what it used to be like in October 2015, now they just have very difficult to locate fugitives.
Part of the reason why, it is IMO is because the 4 fugitives that have ties to Mexico (Alex Castillo, Santiago Mederos, Arnoldo Jimenez, and the Narco of Narcos), are believed to be in Mexican states where there is a level travel advisory which means; Do Not Travel.
This isn’t really the case with Alex Castillo as much as it is with the others, Santiago Mederos is believed to be in the state of Guerrero, Arnoldo Jimenez is known to frequent Reynosa, Tamaulipas, Mexico, and Rafael Caro-Quintero, given that he’s got a leadership role in the Sinaloa Cartel makes me believe he’s somewhere in Sinaloa state. This could be the reason why Mederos, & Jimenez have not been captured yet.
There is a bit of hope as Jesus Munguia, and Eduardo Ravelo we’re captured in Michoacan state months apart in 2018, with that state also under a Level 4: Do Not Travel Advisory.
Castillo as we’ve all speculated may be getting help from family.
Yaser Said will eventually get caught, and that’s a case I want solved before the start of 2020, Eugene Palmer, Robert Fisher, & Jason Brown, I hope they make one wrong move, or law enforcement get lucky and arrest one of them...
As for Alexis Flores, I really don’t know anymore to be completely honest. Part of me still holds out hope he’s likely hiding out in Honduras and they haven’t been able to locate him.
|
|
|
Post by Scumhunter on Sept 20, 2019 0:05:49 GMT -5
Honestly I really like the list the way it currently looks. They have a good mixture of cold but not too cold cases and recent but not too recent cases. I think- besides adding a guy like Semion Mogilevich who was completely useless as his country wouldn't extradite him- the two biggest mistakes you can make are adding a too hard to solve cold case or a too easy recent case. Like I said, I think we got spoiled over the years by a good capture streak when this is really what the list is traditionally more like. I'm sorry to say this- as awesome as the capture streak was, I feel a lot of those cases were "easy" cases where the fugitive might have been caught even without the top ten publicity anyway. Most of the cases now are cases I feel are cases that actually need the list's publicity. I always brag when I'm right so I'll admit when I'm wrong- I predicted the FBI would have a top ten capture by the end of September but so far it looks like I'll be wrong for a change. Although hopefully now by mentioning this I did the first ever positive jinx.
|
|
|
Post by тσρтєиhυитєя on Oct 6, 2019 19:23:47 GMT -5
After the Marshals capturing Corey Gaston recently after 8 years on the USMS Top 15, I hope the FBI can get Yaser Said after 5 years on the Ten Most Wanted List now. As I’ve said before, I have a hunch Said will get caught, but in a world full of weird things happening lately, I wouldn’t be surprised if Jason Brown finally goes down soon.
|
|
|
Post by Scumhunter on Oct 6, 2019 22:41:09 GMT -5
We shall see. Would love for it to be Said, law of averages says someone has to go to down by the end of the year.
|
|
|
Post by Maddog on Oct 14, 2019 0:04:23 GMT -5
We shall see. Would love for it to be Said, law of averages says someone has to go to down by the end of the year. I think it will be Castillo - FBI has acknowledged they have had some great leads on his location. Personally, I want to see Fisher go down next. His crimes have always bothered me. FBI Agent Robert Caldwell said it best, “How can anybody...a normal person, stand over their children’s beds and slit their throats?”
|
|
|
Post by тσρтєиhυитєя on Oct 14, 2019 21:04:29 GMT -5
New prediction, if we don’t get a capture before December 1st, I speculate that someone is going to be removed from the list, and i won’t say who I think it is, but it’s hard for the FBI to replace one of the current 10 with someone currently on the FBI site as no one on the site is accused of a crime committed in 2019.
Usually the FBI removes a fugitive added to the top ten list who was added under another FBI director, and replace that person with someone accused of a crime that is recent and have committed at least 2 murders, or have attempted to murder more than 2 people.
Though Hugo Villanueva-Morales could possibly make the cut if he stays at large for awhile longer.
|
|
|
Post by Scumhunter on Oct 14, 2019 22:12:52 GMT -5
I would agree Alexis Flores as probably the most likely as even Robert Fisher has had age-progression photos and some publicity. I'm just hoping they don't decide to do that and he stays on the list a few more years anyway. Case is too tragic to ignore.
|
|
|
Post by Maddog on Oct 14, 2019 22:35:08 GMT -5
I’m guessing they are closing in on Palmer, too. We know a Red Notice was issued recently, and not only that, but in the article I read a few days ago, the FBI was more adamant than ever that he was alive. That leads me to suspect they really have a good idea of where he’s at (personally, from the sound of things, I’m wondering if he walked into Canada).
|
|
|
Post by тσρтєиhυитєя on Oct 20, 2019 22:18:10 GMT -5
Today and tomorrow marked 10 years since the additions of Joe Saenz, Eduardo Ravelo, & Semion Mogilevich to the FBI Top Ten list.
These 3 individuals were amongst the 10 we started this decade off with. Each of these fugitives wasn’t a 1 day/month/year capture, it took awhile to get them caught or removed.
Joe Saenz was captured after 3 years on the list in Mexico in 2012
Semion Mogilevich was removed without capture in 2015
Eduardo Ravelo was captured after 8 1/2 years on the list in Mexico in 2018 and to be honest it’s still hard to believe he’s been captured and replaced for over a year now.
Going into 2020, assuming we don’t have any captures for the rest of the year, like the triple 2009 fugitives from a decade ago, I’m curious to see when each of the triple 2017 fugitives will go down.
|
|
|
Post by тσρтєиhυитєя on Nov 9, 2019 22:32:07 GMT -5
|
|
|
Post by Scumhunter on Nov 10, 2019 0:53:22 GMT -5
That's good news, watch Levinson finally be returned and Trump take credit for it even when he had nothing to do with it lol.
Of course, I'd rather Levinson be returned and Trump take undeserved credit than for him to not be safely sent back at all.
|
|
|
Post by Scumhunter on Nov 10, 2019 0:54:19 GMT -5
|
|
|
Post by Scumhunter on Nov 14, 2019 17:26:27 GMT -5
Michael Alexander Brown is now on the FBI website. He is an AWOL ex-Marine wanted for the murder of his girlfriend's father and believed to be possible armed with a high-powered assault rifle and other possible assault weapons, has been known to live in the woods and visit national parks etc...
This case is although a different type of victim essentially eerily similar to the Eric Frein manhunt and he probably would have been added to the top ten list had there been an open slot, so we'll wait and see what happens in regards to that.
Hopefully this is a quick manhunt but we'll see.
|
|
|
Post by тσρтєиhυитєя on Jan 2, 2020 4:17:20 GMT -5
Well the FBI Top Ten list Wikipedia page has created the end of the decade list for the 2010s and has created an “added in the 2020” page. Honestly it’s crazy how far the list has come in 10 years. I won’t really get into who is on the list as it’s already known, but a few things I want to point out here. The Top Ten List isn’t filled with any dinosaur additions from 3 decades ago like it was in 2009/2010, though one could argue Robert Fisher could be considered one, but he hasn’t yet broken the first record former FBI Top Tenner Charles Lee Heron at 18 years and that’s where I consider a fugitive to be a Top Ten List dinosaur. However we are on par with 2009/2010 based on the fact that there were Fugitives added 2 decades prior (1990s) and its the same case here in 2019/2020 as we have 3 fugitives added from 2 decades ago (gosh I feel old saying that). Another thing I wanted to point out is multi million bounty fugitives like Whitey Bulger, Osama Bin Laden & Rafael Caro-Quintero. In the case of Whitey Bulger that was an extraordinary circumstance that eventually paid off and even better it was through public tips, however with Bin Laden and Caro-Quintero tips don’t necessarily get these guys caught, but it came to me when I saw this, these multi million dollar bounty fugitives are unnecessary, but sometimes here and there government agencies will place them on the Ten Most Wanted List to try and get their inner circle to crack and get the public aware of the list itself, as people will be hyped seeing a guy like Rafael Caro-Quintero on the list (who is the only fugitive with a reward in the millions), but when they see the list, they’ll read into the other fugitives. So in a way I think it’s a tactic to bring attention to the list as a whole which is why the FBI Top Ten is more mainstream and well known than the Marshals list (not saying the marshals list isn’t good).
|
|
|
Post by тσρтєиhυитєя on Jan 9, 2020 12:51:06 GMT -5
I haven’t made a candidates post in a while because the FBI Top Ten List has been at a stalemate. But there are some cases that stand out to me.
Recent fugitives
Jose Arturo Navarrete, Jr. - a recent sex crimes fugitive
Hector Manuel Murcia Brizuela - because of the new image of him years after the crime, and the likelihood of him still living in the United States is my reason for adding him.
Cold Cases
Warren Stern - back when the FBI Los Angeles was doing their publicity campaign on LA fugitives that fled to Mexico, I was wondering if they aren’t focusing on Stern at that moment could it mean a possible addition in the future when a slot opens?
Saul Aguilar - Around the time the FBI did their publicity campaign on LA fugitives that fled to Mexico, The fbi May add this case as FBI agents would have wanted to close the case and this case is on par with the types of crimes the FBI has been adding since at least 2017 which is men murdering their significant others.
Andre Fleurentin - This is a very awful yet unknown case that could really use extra publicity that comes with a Top Ten addition, plus they speculate he may be in his native Haiti or the Dominican Republic, so basically the entire island of Hispaniola is the focus of the investigation here.
I know it’s not as big as my previous lists but I’ve narrowed it down to 5, but what are everyone’s thoughts?
|
|